Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.055012 0.064449 0.074975 0.087583 0.102271 0.118839 0.138947
2025-08-31 0.039679 0.051739 0.066645 0.086405 0.111899 0.143678 0.186307
2025-09-07 0.031890 0.045144 0.062866 0.088251 0.123654 0.171259 0.240151
2025-09-14 0.025907 0.039255 0.058297 0.087375 0.130605 0.192464 0.287720
2025-09-21 0.021268 0.034187 0.053686 0.085156 0.134604 0.209260 0.330541
2025-09-28 0.017658 0.029931 0.049411 0.082449 0.136991 0.223369 0.370543
2025-10-05 0.015744 0.027999 0.048358 0.084468 0.146794 0.249840 0.433098
2025-10-12 0.013945 0.025930 0.046704 0.085112 0.154196 0.273052 0.492959
2025-10-19 0.012395 0.024034 0.045024 0.085371 0.160794 0.295465 0.554001
2025-10-26 0.011238 0.022667 0.044059 0.086710 0.169377 0.322206 0.625910
2025-11-02 0.010412 0.021797 0.043872 0.089426 0.180779 0.355284 0.713509
2025-11-09 0.009059 0.019668 0.040958 0.086392 0.180580 0.366321 0.759842
2025-11-16 0.008141 0.018322 0.039458 0.086087 0.185967 0.389206 0.833390
2025-11-23 0.007257 0.016919 0.037653 0.084903 0.189396 0.408618 0.902448
2025-11-30 0.006734 0.016233 0.037272 0.086713 0.199410 0.442782 1.006937
2025-12-07 0.006069 0.015118 0.035789 0.085850 0.203389 0.464491 1.086898
2025-12-14 0.005396 0.013880 0.033854 0.083669 0.204052 0.478933 1.152245
2025-12-21 0.004777 0.012680 0.031839 0.081009 0.203217 0.489825 1.210660
2025-12-28 0.004499 0.012298 0.031738 0.082993 0.213789 0.528350 1.339361
2026-01-04 0.004173 0.011743 0.031133 0.083626 0.221097 0.559952 1.455089
2026-01-11 0.003860 0.011176 0.030419 0.083880 0.227469 0.590006 1.570653
2026-01-18 0.003625 0.010789 0.030123 0.085197 0.236774 0.628457 1.712429
2026-01-25 0.003466 0.010594 0.030316 0.087866 0.250033 0.678550 1.890850